Footystats Diary, footy's best kept secret, Match Stats-Facts, 2009, Round 14



Footy's best kept secret ...

Bruce Kennedy
Match Stats, 2009, Round 14
Fri-Sat-Sun, July 3-4-5


è Venue performances, all clubs ... more
also refer to –
Head-to-head – Coaches


Round 14 – Game 1
Collingwood v Essendon
MCG
Friday (n), July 3, 7.40pm EST
Played Coll'wood Essendon Drawn
219 117 98 4

Historic record based on the period 1987-2008

Upsets are the norm when these two sides meet – these two have produced plenty in the last six years.

Head-to-head: Collingwood 19 Essendon 25 Drawn 1
Games decided by 12 points or less: Collingwood 6 Essendon 7 Drawn 1
Games decided by 40 points or more: Collingwood 3 Essendon 7

In the 2000s: Collingwood 6 Essendon 13
Games decided by 12 points or less: Collingwood 0 Essendon 2
Games decided by 40 points or more: Collingwood 1 Essendon 4
Although these two have played just two games decided by 12 points or less in the 2000s, they have played six games in which the margin has been 13-19 points – split 3-3.

Current streak: Essendon 2.

Last time they met:
Essendon 13.15 v Collingwood 12.16 at the MCG in Rd 5, 2009.

At the MCG: Collingwood 16 Essendon 21 Drawn 1
Games decided by 12 points or less: Collingwood 3 Essendon 6 Drawn 1
Games decided by 40 points or more: Collingwood 3 Essendon 5

Recent surprise results at the MCG:
2002-R5-MCG – Col (11th) 9.12 v Ess (2nd) 4.9 – This one was played on Anzac Day before 84 894 fans. In heavy conditions the Magpies broke clear with four unanswered goals in the third term.
2002-R20-MCG – Ess (10th) 19.12 v Col (4th) 10.11 – This was hardly the tune up the Magpies wanted pre-finals. Instead, the Bombers booked their spot emphatically. Essendon led from start to finish.
2003-R5-MCG – Ess (8th) 23.9 v Col (3rd) 12.9 – Led by the irrepressible James Hird, the Dons couldn’t have played better. The Bombers held the Magpies at arms length for most of the day before rocketing clear with eight goals to one in the final term.
2006-R19-MCG – Ess (16th) 10.14 v Col (6th) 9.7 – How fortunes change. This result enabled the Bombers to crawl off the bottom of the ladder. They led a lacklustre Collingwood throughout.
2007-R5-MCG – Col (9th) 12.23 d Ess (2nd) 11.13 – Another ANZAC Day upset. The Bombers started brightly but were progressively shut out of the game. Only the Magpies’ inaccuracy kept the Dons in touch in the final quarter.
2008-R17-MCG – Ess (12th) 19.14 v Col (5th) 11.14 – What a lacklustre effort by the Magpies. It was the lowly Bombers who showed all the initiative and life. Even with just a nine point half time deficit the Magpies couldn’t land a punch in the second half to launch an assault on the double chance.
2009-R5-MCG – Ess (9th) 13.15 v Col (6th) 12.16 – The Magpies held a small lead almost throughout, only to be stunned by the Bombers’ belated last ditch thrust, with the final goal coming only seconds before the end.


see also

Collingwood v Essendon
Melbourne v West Coast
Port Adelaide v Brisbane
Richmond v Adelaide
West.B'dogs v Hawthorn

Sydney v North Melb
St Kilda v Geelong
Fremantle v Carlton


Round 14 – Game 2
Melbourne v West Coast
MCG
Saturday, July 4, 2.10pm EST
Played Melbourne West Coast Drawn
38 14 24

Historic record based on the period 1987-2008

Since the end of 2002 the Eagles have gained a decided ascendancy against the Demons, their record standing at 7-2 in that time frame.

Head-to-head: Melbourne 14 West Coast Eagles 24
Games decided by 12 points or less: Melbourne 3 West Coast 2
Games decided by 40 points or more: Melbourne 5 West Coast 10

In the 2000s: Melbourne 6 West Coast Eagles 8
Games decided by 12 points or less: Melbourne 1 West Coast 2
Games decided by 40 points or more: Melbourne 3 West Coast 3

Current streak: West Coast Eagles 1.

When they last met:
West Coast 12.18 v Melbourne 13.4 at Subiaco in Rd 7, 2009.
When they last met at the MCG:
Melbourne 11.13 v West Coast 5.15 in Rd 20, 2008.

At the MCG: Melbourne 6 West Coast Eagles 6
Games decided by 12 points or less: none
Games decided by 40 points or more: Melbourne 3 West Coast 2
The closest match between this pair at the MCG is 13 points in Rd 9, 1993, won by the Demons.

Surprise results at the MCG:
1993-R9-MCG – Mel (13th) 14.17 v WCE (3rd) 13.10 – The Demons turned round a four goal half-time deficit. There has been nothing resembling a surprise result between them at the MCG since.


Round 14 – Game 3
Port Adelaide v Brisbane
Football Park
Saturday, July 4, 3.10pm EST
Played Brisbane Port Adel Drawn
22 10 10 2

Historic record based on the period 1997-2008

Port has taken particular delight at Football Park in taking full advantage of the Lions’ Achilles heel – losing in close finishes. Two of Port’s wins have been by two points, and a further two by six points.

Head-to-head: Port Adelaide 10 Brisbane 10 Drawn 2
Games decided by 12 points or less: Port Adel 6 Brisbane 1 Drawn 2
Games decided by 40 points or more: Port Adel 2 Brisbane 5

In the 2000s: Port Adelaide 8 Brisbane 8
Games decided by 12 points or less: Port Adel 5 Brisbane 1
Games decided by 40 points or more: Port Adel 2 Brisbane 4
Four of Port’s wins have been by six points or less (and another by seven points). Four of Brisbane’s wins have been by 56 points or more.

Current streak: Brisbane 1

When they last met:
Port Adelaide 16.8 v Brisbane 18.16 at Football Park in Rd 4, 2008.

At Football Park: Port Adelaide 5 Brisbane 3
Games decided by 12 points or less: Port Adel 4 Brisbane 1
Games decided by 40 points or more: Port Adel 1 Brisbane 2

Recent surprise result at Football Park:
2000-R4-FP – PA (16th) 23.11 v Bri (9th) 15.16 – The Power was entrenched at the bottom of the ladder, its percentage some 30 percent behind that of second last team, Adelaide. The Lions weren’t travelling all that well, either, but a visit to Football Park looked more likely to kick start their season than stifle it. Port won only one game up to Round 12, and this was it. It streeted Brisbane with 13 second half goals to run out 43 point victors. Brisbane ultimately recovered to take part in the finals; Port finished 14th.
2008-R4-FP PA – (2007 Runner-up) 16.8 v Bri (10th in 2007) 18.16 – This was a stunner. Shortly before the final change Port led 15.7 to 7.8 and was all over the Lions. What happened in the last 40 minutes of play defies description. The Lions developed momentum, and despite still facing a 33 point deficit at the change, they simply built and built and the runaway train was unstoppable


Round 14 – Game 4
Richmond v Adelaide
Carrara Oval
Saturday (n), July 4, 7.10pm EST
Played Adelaide Richmond Drawn
25 17 8

Historic record based on the period 1987-2008

This match is the third of three experimental matches between two “neutral” clubs at Carrara this season. Adelaide has proved a huge stumbling block to the Tigers throughout most of the 2000s.

Head-to-head: Richmond 8 Adelaide 17
Games decided by 12 points or less: Richmond 3 Adelaide 2
Games decided by 40 points or more: Richmond 1 Adelaide 9
The Crows’ only close wins are by nine points at Docklands in 2000 and again at Football Park in 2007; the Tigers’ only “big” win was by 46 points at the MCG in 1996.

In the 2000s: Richmond 1 Adelaide 11
Games decided by 12 points or less: Richmond 1 Adelaide 2
Games decided by 40 points or more: Richmond 0 Adelaide 5
The Crows won eight straight till Richmond broke the sequence at Docklands in Rd 8, 2006, holding on to win by three points.

Current streak: Adelaide 3. The Crows have won 11 of their last 12 against the Tigers.

When they last met:
Adelaide 16.12 v Richmond 6.9 at Football Park in Rd 19, 2008.

The most recent surprise result:
2001-R8-MCG – Rch (4th) 14.8 v Ade (11th) 17.18 – Richmond led 10.4 to 5.12 at half time, but was swamped in the third term to trail 11.4 to 14.12 at the final turn. The Crows romped home. Both were finalists that year, the Tigers earning a double chance.


Round 14 – Game 5
Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn
Docklands
Saturday (n), July ?4, 7.10pm EST
Played Hawthorn Fsc-WBdogs Drawn
148 73 73 2

Historic record based on the period 1987-2008

Competition between these clubs is normally intense. Their rivalry stems from their admission to the competition in 1925 and their striving to be first to win a premiership. The Bulldogs held the flag aloft first, after their 1954 triumph. The Hawks won seven years later, defeating Footscray to achieve their feat. The Hawks have gone on to win nine more premierships; the Bulldogs are still seeking their second.

Head-to-head: Western Bulldogs 15 Hawthorn 17 Drawn 2
Games decided by 12 points or less: W Bulldogs 3 Hawthorn 1 Drawn 2
Games decided by 40 points or more: W Bulldogs 4 Hawthorn 10

In the 2000s: Western Bulldogs 6 Hawthorn 8
Games decided by 12 points or less: W Bulldogs 1 Hawthorn 1
Games decided by 40 points or more: W Bulldogs 1 Hawthorn 3
The Hawks won the first three games between them in the 2000s; the Bulldogs won three straight 2005-07. Seven of their matches during the 2000s have been decided by 15-31 points.

Current streak: Hawthorn 1.

When they last met:
Hawthorn 18.19 v Western Bulldogs 11.10 at the MCG in the Qualifying Final, 2008.
When they last met at Docklands:
Hawthorn 22.19 v Bulldogs 10.7 in Rd 21, 2007.

At Docklands: Western Bulldogs 2 Hawthorn 5
Games decided by 12 points or less: W Bulldogs 0 Hawthorn 1
Games decided by 40 points or more: W Bulldogs 0 Hawthorn 1
The Hawks won the first four matches between the two at Docklands (by 15, 29, 23 and 11 points); the Bulldogs won the next two (by 22 and 21 points). Hawthorn won the most recent there by 84 points.

Surprise results at Docklands:
2000-R22-Dok – WB (5th) 9.12 lost to Haw (8th) 11.15 – The Bulldogs had a slight chance of making the top four; the Hawks needed a win to guarantee their place in the finals. Led by Salmon and Chick, Hawthorn forged ahead in a tight encounter. Hawthorn led by 17 points at half-time and maintained that advantage.


Round 14 – Game 6
Sydney Swans v North Melbourne
SCG
Sunday, July 5, 1.10pm EST
Played North Melb SM-Sydney Drawn
147 71 75 1

Historic record based on the period 1987-2008

Perhaps surprisingly, the Kangaroos’ have been dominant over the years at the SCG. The Roos will enjoy returning there, despite going down in their most recent encounter at the SCG.

Head-to-head: Sydney 15 North Melb 19 Drawn 1
Games decided by 12 points or less: Sydney 5 North Melb 7 Drawn 1
Games decided by 40 points or more: Sydney 7 North Melb 6

In the 2000s: Sydney 9 North Melbourne 5 Drawn 1
Games decided by 12 points or less: Sydney 2 North Melb 2 Drawn 1
Games decided by 40 points or more: Sydney 5 North Melb 0

Current streak: Sydney 1.

When they last met:
Sydney 17.8 v North Melb 11.9 at Stadium Australia in a 2008 Elimination Final.
When they last met at the SCG:
Sydney 15.11 v Kangaroos 9.10 in Rd 21, 2005.

At the SCG: Sydney Swans 9 North Melbourne 14
Games decided by 12 points or less: Sydney 4 North Melb 8
Games decided by 40 points or more: Sydney 4 North Melb 3
These clubs made a run of close games at the SCG in the 1980s, with North ahead “on points”. More recently, Sydney delivered four heavy defeats on the Roos in 2000-02. Since then, this pair has only met twice there, for one win each.

Most recent surprise results at the SCG:
2000-R5-SCG – Kan (9th) 19.14 v Syd (5th)18.12 – The Roos looked to be in difficulties trying to shake off a premiership hangover, while the Swans had started stylishly, their only defeat by less than a kick against Collingwood in arguably the closest match of all time. On this evening, the Kangaroos, in a home fixture scheduled at the SCG, stormed away after half time, landing eight third term majors, to prevail by eight points.
2000-R20-SCG – Syd (11th) 21.19 v Kan (3rd) 14.7 – Sydney’s chances didn’t look flash, yet for the local patrons this was a stellar night. From start to finish the Swans dominated. The Kangaroos battled on with grit till the Preliminary Final; Sydney finished tenth.
2001-R18-SCG – Syd (7th) 22.11 v Kan (12th) 3.18 – Although Sydney was expected to defeat the Kangaroos, the magnitude of the hiding was quite a shock. The Swans struggled after this match, finished seventh, and were thumped in the first final. The Roos had to be content with 13th place.
2002-R19-SCG – Kan (7th) 15.7 v Syd (13th) 22.12 – This was a Kangaroos home game and they desperately needed a win. The Swans appeared to be biding their time till next season. However this was the start of a late winning run for Sydney. Although the Roos led 10.3 to 6.5 at half time, it was all Swans in the second half. The Kangaroos staggered into seventh spot whence they were eliminated in the first week of the finals; the Swans won their remaining games to finish 11th.


Round 14 – Game 7
St Kilda v Geelong
Docklands
Sunday, July 5, 3.10pm EST
Played Geelong St Kilda Drawn
201 122 79

Historic record based on the period 1987-2008

The Cats have been a thorn in the Saints’ side for the duration of the competition, and nothing has changed in the last two decades.

Head-to-head: St Kilda 12 Geelong 25
Games decided by 12 points or less: St Kilda 3 Geelong 8
Games decided by 40 points or more: St Kilda 4 Geelong 8

In the 2000s: St Kilda 5 Geelong 12
Games decided by 12 points or less: St Kilda 0 Geelong 3
Games decided by 40 points or more: St Kilda 3 Geelong 5
The Cats have won four of the last five against the Saints, by an average of 45 points.

Current streak: Geelong 3.

When they last met:
Geelong 17.17 v St Kilda 8.13 at the MCG in a 2008 Qualifying Final.
When they last met at Docklands:
Geelong 21.10 v St Kilda 13.16 in Rd 4, 2008.

At Docklands: St Kilda 5 Geelong 6
Games decided by 12 points or less: St Kilda 0 Geelong 1
Games decided by 40 points or more: St Kilda 3 Geelong 2
The Cats have won their most recent two matches against the Saints at Docklands, by 60 and 42 points.

Surprise results at Docklands:
2000-R17-Dok – StK (16th) 16.13 d Gee (4th) 13.7 – This was one of two Saint victories that season. The Saints surged away from the disappointing Cats in the second half. The Cats made the finals but were eliminated in the first week.
2006-R7-Dok – StK (7th) 9.10 Gee (11th) 12.10 – The Cats had dropped four in a row. The Saints were doing a little better, having rolled the rampant Dogs the previous week. Geelong held control from early on but neither team looked flash. The Saints made the finals but lost straight away; the Cats missed out entirely.


Round 14 – Game 8
Fremantle v Carlton
Subiaco Oval
Sunday, July 5, 4.40pm EST
Played Carlton Fremantle Drawn
21 9 12

Historic record based on the period 1987-2008

Ever since the Dockers emphatically stopped the Blues’ 18-game winning streak in Rd 3, 1996 these clubs have generally played it very hard against one another. When Carlton was a top side until 2001 it normally won well, but since then the Dockers have had great joy at the Blues’ expense. Fremantle’s nine game winning streak (2001-07) is its best against any club.

Head-to-head: Fremantle 12 Carlton 9
Games decided by 12 points or less: Fremantle 2 Carlton 2
Games decided by 40 points or more: Fremantle 4 Carlton 5

In the 2000s: Fremantle 10 Carlton 4
Games decided by 12 points or less: Fremantle 1 Carlton 2
Games decided by 40 points or more: Fremantle 3 Carlton 2
Prior to Rd 9, 2008, the Dockers had not lost to the Blues since 2001. Fremantle won nine straight – three by more than 40 points and the rest by between 15 and 35 points.

Current streak: Fremantle 1 (The Dockers have won 10 of their last 11 against the Blues).

When they last met:
Carlton 11.15 v Fremantle 13.10 at Carrara in Rd 7, 2009.
When they last met at Subiaco:
Fremantle 27.11 d Carlton 13.18 at Subiaco in Rd 13, 2007

At Subiaco: Fremantle 8 Carlton 3
Games decided by 12 points or less: Fremantle 1 Carlton 1
Games decided by 40 points or more: Fremantle 3 Carlton 2

Surprise results at Subiaco:
1996-R3-S – Fre (8th) 15.12 d Car (5th) 6.13 – This was the first loss for Carlton, the reigning premier, since Rd 9, 1995. The Dockers had it won by half time and didn’t let up.
2001-R1-S – Fre (12th in 2000) 18.10 v Car (3rd in 2000) 18.11 – That it was so close was an eye-opener. It took an eight goals to two third quarter for the Blues to make it to the line. Maybe this was to be a turning point for the Dockers.

Best of 2008, Round 13 –
 

Highest Score:

20.15-135, WEST.B'DOGS v Port Adel
Biggest Margin: 68pts, GEELONG v Adelaide
Best in Goals: 6.4, Jarryd ROUGHEAD (Haw) v WCE
6.1, Matthew PAVLICH (Fre) v Ess
5.2, Lance FRANKLIN (Haw) v WCE
5.3, Jonathan BROWN (Bri) v Mel
Lowest Score: 6.14-50, SYDNEY v Collingwood
Best Quarters: 1st 4.8-32 HAW v WCE
2nd 8.5-53 WB v PA
3rd 5.4-34 PA v WB
4th 7.4-46 CAR v Rch

Official AFL attendances for 2008, Round 14 –

29,138 Hawthorn v West Coast (MCG)
73,503 Richmond v Carlton (MCG)
9,128 North Melb v St Kilda (Carrara)
11,373 West.B'dogs v Port Adelaide (Marrara)
23,278 Melbourne v Brisbane (MCG)
34,239 Fremantle v Essendon (Subiaco)
44,377 Adelaide v Geelong (Football Park)
59,266 Sydney v Collingwood (Homebush)
284,302 Total for Round 14 — (2007: 299,201)
3,967,884 Totals for Rounds 1 to 13
4,252,186 Progressive after Round 14 — (2007: 4,093,08

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